Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.003359 0.003524 0.003692 0.003877 0.004075 0.004281 0.004511
2025-06-01 0.003063 0.003308 0.003567 0.003865 0.004197 0.004559 0.004982
2025-06-08 0.002862 0.003150 0.003464 0.003834 0.004259 0.004737 0.005317
2025-06-15 0.002688 0.003002 0.003351 0.003772 0.004268 0.004839 0.005552
2025-06-22 0.002549 0.002881 0.003258 0.003720 0.004277 0.004932 0.005770
2025-06-29 0.002459 0.002811 0.003217 0.003722 0.004343 0.005089 0.006068
2025-07-06 0.002320 0.002675 0.003089 0.003613 0.004265 0.005062 0.006128
2025-07-13 0.002254 0.002622 0.003058 0.003616 0.004322 0.005202 0.006403
2025-07-20 0.002218 0.002604 0.003066 0.003666 0.004440 0.005420 0.006788
2025-07-27 0.002146 0.002538 0.003011 0.003634 0.004447 0.005494 0.006980
2025-08-03 0.002083 0.002481 0.002965 0.003610 0.004463 0.005578 0.007189
2025-08-10 0.002024 0.002425 0.002919 0.003584 0.004473 0.005651 0.007382
2025-08-17 0.002003 0.002419 0.002936 0.003639 0.004595 0.005883 0.007816
2025-08-24 0.001955 0.002375 0.002902 0.003628 0.004626 0.005990 0.008073
2025-08-31 0.001902 0.002324 0.002858 0.003599 0.004630 0.006058 0.008275
2025-09-07 0.001841 0.002261 0.002795 0.003542 0.004592 0.006064 0.008381
2025-09-14 0.001788 0.002205 0.002740 0.003495 0.004566 0.006083 0.008507
2025-09-21 0.001756 0.002177 0.002722 0.003497 0.004608 0.006204 0.008796
2025-09-28 0.001687 0.002098 0.002632 0.003396 0.004499 0.006095 0.008715
2025-10-05 0.001659 0.002074 0.002616 0.003399 0.004540 0.006212 0.009000
2025-10-12 0.001650 0.002073 0.002632 0.003446 0.004646 0.006431 0.009464
2025-10-19 0.001613 0.002035 0.002594 0.003416 0.004637 0.006473 0.009633
2025-10-26 0.001580 0.002002 0.002564 0.003394 0.004640 0.006531 0.009834